Suppose the edge connectivity of a graph G is c.
In the previous article we know that the number of cuts with weight up to kc is bounded by O((2n)2k), where k is a real number and n is the number of vertices in G.
Let f(x) to be the number of cut with value xc and define F(k)=Σx≤kf(x).
From the discussion above, F(k)≤λ(2n)2k for some constant λ.
If we remove each edge with probability p, then the graph becomes disconnected with probability at most
Pr[Disconnected]=Σxf(x)pxc.
To maximize Pr[Disconnected], we take F(k)=λ(2n)2k for every k.
By the definition of F(k), f(k)=λ((2n)2k−(2n)2(k−1)).
If p=(2n)−ca for some parameter a, then Pr[Disconnected]=O(n2pc/(a−2))=O(n2−a/(a−2)).
When a=3, the graph is disconnected with probability O(1/n). (p.s: for large c, p≈1−caln2n)